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台风暴雨型滑坡滞后效应分析以浙江青田县 “利奇马”台风为例

栗倩倩, 王伟, 黄亮, 柴波, 高乐

栗倩倩,王伟,黄亮,等. 台风暴雨型滑坡滞后效应分析−以浙江青田县 “利奇马”台风为例[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2022,33(6): 10-19. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202110018
引用本文: 栗倩倩,王伟,黄亮,等. 台风暴雨型滑坡滞后效应分析−以浙江青田县 “利奇马”台风为例[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2022,33(6): 10-19. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202110018
LI Qianqian, WANG Wei, HUANG Liang, et al. Analysis on lag effect of typhoon-induced landslide: A case study of typhoon “Lekima” in Qingtian County, Zhejiang Province[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2022, 33(6): 10-19. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202110018
Citation: LI Qianqian, WANG Wei, HUANG Liang, et al. Analysis on lag effect of typhoon-induced landslide: A case study of typhoon “Lekima” in Qingtian County, Zhejiang Province[J]. The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control, 2022, 33(6): 10-19. DOI: 10.16031/j.cnki.issn.1003-8035.202110018

台风暴雨型滑坡滞后效应分析——以浙江青田县 “利奇马”台风为例

基金项目: 国家自然科学基金项目(41702304);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(CUG2106304)
详细信息
    作者简介:

    栗倩倩(1998-),女,云南大理人,环境科学与工程专业,硕士研究生,主要从事岩土-水文-生态耦合过程及作用机制研究工作。E-mail:qianli@cug.edu.cn

    通讯作者:

    柴 波(1981-),男,内蒙古赤峰人,地质工程专业,博士,教授,主要从事岩土工程和环境地质方面的教学与研究工作。E-mail:chaibo@cug.edu.cn

  • 中图分类号: P642.22

Analysis on lag effect of typhoon-induced landslide: A case study of typhoon “Lekima” in Qingtian County, Zhejiang Province

  • 摘要: 我国东南沿海地区台风登陆频繁,伴生暴雨诱发的台风型滑坡造成了严重的经济损失和人员伤亡。已有研究在单峰型、多峰型台风暴雨的斜坡水文响应过程及稳定性分析方面取得了一定成果,但缺乏对台风暴雨型滑坡滞后效应的研究和机理分析。为此,以台风“利奇马”在浙江青田县的登陆为例,基于对台风型滑坡发生数量与降雨量的统计,构建16组不同结构组合的斜坡模型,模拟在台风登陆过程中不同降雨工况条件下斜坡的渗流—稳定性变化。结果表明,台风“利奇马”离陆后青田县内仍有26.4%的滑坡发生,存在一定滞后;不同结构组合斜坡稳定性在离陆后最低,相较于台风登陆前稳定性系数降低了13.82%;在台风登陆暴雨作用下,青田县斜坡稳定性结构影响参数中坡度最为敏感;讨论认为在台风不同登陆阶段的降雨会导致边坡的入渗特征差异,从而形成滞后效应。研究结论对于该区域的台风型滑坡早期识别具有一定指导意义。
    Abstract: Typhoon landing is frequent in the southeast coastal areas of China, and the typhoon-induced landslide caused by associated rainstorms has caused serious economic losses and casualties. Some studies have made some achievements in the slope hydrological response process and stability analysis of single-peak and multi-peaks typhoon rainstorms, but research on mechanism analysis on the hysteresis effect of typhoon-induced landslide is lacked. Therefore, taking “Lekima” in Qingtian county, Zhejiang Province as an example, based on the statistics of the number and rainfall of typhoon-type landslides, this paper constructs 16 groups of slope models with different structural combinations to simulate the seepage-stability changes of slopes under different rainfall conditions during the landing of a typhoon. The results show that there are still 26.4% landslides in Qingtian county after typhoon “Lekima” left the land, which is lagging. The stability of slopes with different structural combinations is the lowest after landing, which is 13.82% lower than that before typhoon landing. Under the action of typhoon landing rainstorm, the slope is the most sensitive among the influencing parameters of slope stability structure in Qingtian county. It is considered that rainfall at different landing stages of the typhoon will lead to the difference of infiltration characteristics of the slope, thus forming a hysteresis effect. The conclusion has a certain guiding significance for the early identification of typhoon-induced landslides in this area.
  • 图  1   2009—2019年月均降雨量与滑坡发生数量

    Figure  1.   The average monthly rainfall and the number of landslides during the year 2009 to 2019

    图  2   台风“利奇马”路径

    Figure  2.   Path of typhoon “Lekima”

    图  3   台风“利奇马”雨量分布

    Figure  3.   Rainfall distribution of typhoon “Lekima”

    图  4   浙江青田县台风“利奇马”诱发滑坡分布图

    Figure  4.   Distribution map of typhoon “Lekima” induced landslides in Qingtian County, Zhejiang Province

    图  5   台风模拟降雨过程

    Figure  5.   The simulated typhoon rainfall process

    图  6   Van Genuchten经验模型估算第四系残坡积物土水特征曲线

    Figure  6.   Estimation of soil-water characteristic of the Quaternary residual deposit by Van Genuchten Empirical Model

    图  7   斜坡概化模型A1-B2-C2

    Figure  7.   The generalized model for slope A1-B2-C2

    图  8   正交实验各组Fs变化

    Figure  8.   Variation of Fs of each group in orthogonal experiment

    图  9   台风降雨过程斜坡Fs变化

    Figure  9.   Variation of slope stability during typhoon rainfall

    图  10   台风降雨特征

    Figure  10.   Typhoon rainfall characteristics

    图  11   台风型滑坡机理示意图

    Figure  11.   Schematic diagram of typhoon-induced landslide mechanism

    表  1   台风“利奇马”登陆期间降雨量和滑坡数量

    Table  1   Distribution of rainfall and landslides during the landing processes of typhoon “Lekima”

    登陆期滑坡数量占总滑坡发生数/%总降雨量/%
    登陆时853.351.81
    离陆后426.428.53
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2   台风“利奇马”登陆期间滑坡地貌和结构

    Table  2   Landslide landform and structure during the landing of typhoon “Lekima”

    序号登陆期发生日期位置体积/m3主滑方向/(°)滑坡坡度/(°)第四系残坡积物层厚/m
    1登陆时2019-08-10祯埠镇兆庄村30260700.3~2.5
    22019-08-10季宅乡潘山村251550.5~3
    32019-08-10季宅乡潘山村40182703~4
    42019-08-10鹤城街道北岸村250209402~5
    52019-08-10东源镇红光村40205703~5
    62019-08-10祯埠镇锦水村200136651~3
    72019-08-10东源镇后降村15120550.5
    82019-08-10东源镇平桥村20115600.5~1
    9离陆后2019-08-12山口镇板石小区30100301~2
    102019-08-13鹤城街道北岸村50150451.5~3
    112019-08-14祯埠镇锦水村10065401~3
    122019-08-14东源镇平桥村80209453
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3   影响因素划分

    Table  3   Influencing factors and their divisions

    影响因素ABC
    坡度/(°)地下水位线第四系残坡积物层厚/m
    设计数量433
    设计值A130B11/3C11
    A235B21/2C22
    A340B32/3C33
    A445
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  4   影响因素正交设计表

    Table  4   Table of orthogonal design for different influencing factors

    组号ABC组号ABC组号ABC组号ABC
    1A1B1C15A2B1C19A3B1C113A4B1C1
    2A1B1C36A2B1C210A3B1C214A4B1C3
    3A1B2C17A2B2C111A3B2C315A4B2C2
    4A1B3C28A2B3C312A3B3C116A4B3C1
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  5   润嘉小区项目基坑边坡岩体参数

    Table  5   Physical and mechanical parameters of the Rock mass of a foundation pit slope in Runjia community project

    岩性天然重度
    /(kN·m−3
    黏聚力
    /kPa
    内摩擦角
    /(°)
    饱和渗透系数
    /(m·d−1
    饱和含水量
    /%
    第四系残坡积物16.2219.112.6430.4
    凝灰岩1915306.9×10-60.18
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  6   各影响因素sig值

    Table  6   Sig values of all influencing factors

    sig值工况1工况2工况3工况4工况5
    A坡度0.0060.0030.0030.0050.005
    B起始地下水位0.6820.6300.6300.8150.176
    C第四系残坡积物层厚0.0170.1220.1220.0620.022
    下载: 导出CSV
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  • 被引次数: 8
出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2021-10-20
  • 修回日期:  2022-02-12
  • 网络出版日期:  2022-10-13
  • 刊出日期:  2022-12-21

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