ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P

    云南省兰坪县城璋坪沟滑坡—泥石流转化机制分析

    Research on the mechanism of landslide-induced debris flow in Zhangping gully, Lanping county, Yunnan Province

    • 摘要: 【目的】滑坡在一定条件下转化为泥石流,其危害范围、致灾规模和破坏程度均显著增加。历史泥石流事件揭示出云南省兰坪县城璋坪沟高频泥石流主要的激发因素为暴雨,主要形成机制为强降雨导致沟道两岸滑坡下滑至沟道内形成物源,进一步转化为泥石流。目前璋坪沟北支沟沟源位置发育1处底斯阿日滑坡,滑坡变形迹象明显,危险性高。【方法】笔者主要采取资料搜集、InSAR形变分析、多时相遥感解译、无人机测绘、现场详细调查及综合研究方法。【结果】查明高危滑坡物源的发育特征,揭示滑坡-泥石流的转化机制,并结合已有防治工程现状提出风险防御建议。【结论】(1)底斯阿日滑坡方量约35万方,为松散堆积层土质滑坡,滑坡自2020年开始变形加剧,目前处于加速变形阶段,具备了转化为泥石流的地形、物质和水源条件;(2)基于滑坡不同的启动方式,总结滑坡转化为泥石流的三种模式,分别为前缘切坡型、整体转化型和堵河溃决型,其中整体转化型和堵溃型形成的泥石流规模更大,危害性更高;(3)针对底斯阿日滑坡,建议加强监测预警,并开展滑坡转化形成大规模泥石流的勘查评价工作。综合考虑底斯阿日滑坡转化形成大规模泥石流的可能性,建议开展璋坪沟现有防治工程的清淤腾库工作,并重新评估防治工程的承载能力。

       

      Abstract: 【Objective】Landslides exhibit significant potential for transformation into debris flows under certain conditions, resulting in a significant expansion of hazard zones, disaster magnitude, and destructive intensity. Historical debris flow events in Zhangping Gully, Lanping County, Yunnan Province, indicate that intense rainfall is the primary triggering factor. The prevailing formation process involves rainfall-induced landslides sliding into the gully channel and subsequently transforming into debris flows. A high-risk landslide has recently developed at the headwaters of the northern branch of Zhangping Gully, exhibiting clear deformation signs and posing considerable risk. 【Methods】This study employs data collection, InSAR deformation interpretation, multi-temporal remote sensing interpretation, drone-based photogrammetry, detailed field investigation, and integrated analysis. 【Results】This study characterizes the developmental features of high-risk landslide sources, elucidates the landslide-debris-flow transformation mechanisms, and proposes targeted mitigation strategies considering existing engineering controls. 【Conclusions】 (1) The DisiAri landslide has a volume of approximately 350,000 m3 and is a soil landslide developed in loose accumulation layer. The deformation of the landslide has intensified since 2020, and it is currently in an accelerated deformation stage. It has the proper topographic, material, and hydrological conditions to transform into a debris flow. (2) Based on different initiation processes, three distinct transformation modes are identified: the frontal erosion-induced activation, holistic mass conversion and river damming-breaching dynamics. The latter two generally produce larger-scale debris flows with stronger destructive potential. (3) For the DisiAri landslide, enhanced monitoring and early-warning efforts are recommended, along with investigation and evaluation of its potential to transform into a large-scale debris flow. Considering this possibility, dredging and capacity-restoration of existing debris-flow control structures in Zhangping Gully are advised, together with a re-evaluation of their load-bearing capacity.

       

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