ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P

    TOPSIS偏序集模型在四川汉源滑坡易发性评价研究

    Susceptibility evaluation of landslides in Hanyuan county, Sichuan based on the TOPSIS-Partial sequence set model

    • 摘要:
      研究目的 在滑坡易发性评价中,对指标赋权问题尚未达成共识,如何在减少赋权争议的同时有效平衡主客观赋权,提升模型评估的科学性和准确性是当前的关键问题之一。
      研究方法 本文选取了降雨、高程、植被归一化指数、坡度等10类影响因子,提出了一种基于TOPSIS偏序集模型的滑坡易发性评价方法,以解决传统评价方法中对权重取值的依赖问题。并以雅安市汉源县滑坡编录数据为例,将模型评估结果与SVM模型结果进行了对比。
      研究结果 结果显示:TOPSIS偏序集模型的易发性评价精度AUC值达到0.957,显著高于SVM模型(0.912)。通过雅安市汉源县的实例验证,本文方法得出的滑坡易发性分区显示高易发区和极高易发区的面积占比分别为21.67%和18.28%,且76.37%的历史滑坡都位于这两个分区内。
      结论 这表明TOPSIS偏序集模型得出的易发性分区图符合滑坡的发展规律和空间分布特征,可为区域滑坡易发性评价提供参考。

       

      Abstract: In landslide susceptibility evaluation, there is still no consensus on the issue of index weighting. How to effectively balance subjective and objective weights while reducing disputes over weighting and improving the scientificity and accuracy of model evaluation remain one of the key challenges. This study selected ten influencing factors, including rainfall, elevation, vegetation normalization index, and slope, and proposed an evaluation method for landslide susceptibility based on the TOPSIS-partial order set model to address the dependence on weight values in traditional evaluation approaches. In this method, only the relative order of index weights is required. By deriving the positive and negative ideal points and the cumulative transformation matrix, the calculated height value of each sample is taken as the susceptibility probability. This approach simplifies the computational process and enhances model stability and applicability. Using the landslide inventory data of Hanyuan County, Ya 'an City as a case study, the evaluation results of this model were compared with those of the SVM model. The results show that the TOPSIS–Poset model achieved a susceptibility evaluation accuracy (AUC) of 0.957, significantly higher than that of the SVM model (0.912). The susceptibility zoning results indicate that high- and very-high-susceptibility zones account for 21.67% and 18.28% of the total area, respectively, and that 76.37% of historical landslides are located within these two zones. These findings demonstrate that the susceptibility zoning map generated by the TOPSIS-partial model is consistent with the spatial distribution and development patterns of landslides, providing valuable reference for regional landslide susceptibility assessment.

       

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