ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P

    黄河上游曲哇加萨滑坡“9∙20”动力学过程模拟与分析

    Dynamic simulation and analysis of “9·20” sliding process of Quwajiasa landslide in the upper reaches of Yellow River

    • 摘要: 位于黄河上游的曲哇加萨巨型滑坡1985—2020年间发生多起不同程度的局部滑动,严重威胁国道G227 及下方村民生命和财产安全。以2019年9月20日发生于曲哇加萨老滑坡东北段中前缘的H1滑坡为例,在野外调查、形变数据以及稳定性分析的基础上,研究了该滑坡的变形破坏特征,并通过动力学模拟进一步分析了滑坡的成灾范围,反演分析验证了1号滑面浅层滑坡按照摩擦流变模型运动后,将运动堆积到挡墙至军功路段国道G227和居民区,而预测分析发现欠稳定状态的2号滑面浅层滑坡运动后,将运动堆积到军功路至黄河段居民区,但不至于引起堵塞黄河灾害发生。研究结果可为黄河上游巨型滑坡的运动预测评价方法提供一定参考。

       

      Abstract: Several local landslides occurred in the Quwajiasa giant landslide in the upper reaches of the Yellow River from 1985 to 2020, which seriously threatened the safety of G227 national highway and the housing security of the villagers below. Taking the H1 landslides at the middle front of the northeast section of Quwajiasa landslide on September 20, 2019 as an example, based on the field investigation, deformation data and stability analysis, this paper intends to research the deformation and failure characteristics of the landslide, further analyze the sliding range as it moves through dynamic simulation, and the back analysis validated that after the movement of the No.1 shallow landslide following the Frictional model, it accumulated in the highway G227 and residential area from the retaining wall to Jungong Road, however, the No.2 shallow landslide in unstable state was predicted to accumulat in the residential area from Jungong road to the Yellow River after its movement, which will not block the frontal. The research content of this paper can provide some reference for the evaluation method for dynamic prediction super large landslides in the upper reaches of the Yellow River.

       

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