ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P

    基于“房地一体”数据和DEM的削坡建房潜在风险区识别方法研究及实际应用

    Research and application of an identification method for potential cut-slope housing geohazard risk zones using integrated real property data and DEM

    • 摘要:
      研究目的 针对传统“以致灾体为中心”的地质灾害风险识别方法难以精准定位地质灾害风险承灾体的局限性,本文旨在提出一种“以承灾体为中心”的地质灾害风险精细化识别新范式,为实现地质灾害风险早期识别提供新的技术途径。
      研究方法 以广东省上饶镇为例,融合“房地一体”数据与高精度DEM,创新性地构建了基于承灾体邻域风险量化的地质灾害风险识别模型,采用邻域栅格极差运算的分析方法,量化房屋与邻近坡体之间的风险关系,生成“坡度潜在风险区”和“地形起伏度潜在风险区”两类潜在风险识别标志,实现了地质灾害风险识别的指数化与空间显式表达。
      研究结果 经验证,本文模型所生成的两类潜在风险区总面积为0.61~0.91 km2,远小于传统方法划定的重点调查区总面积22.55 km2。在101处实地调查的房屋类风险点中,坡度与地形起伏度潜在风险区的识别准确率分别达到91.09%和93.07%,显著高于传统方法的识别准确率79.21%。本文模型在公路地质灾害风险识别的扩展应用中也表现出良好的适用性。
      结论 本文提出的“以承灾体为中心”的地质灾害风险识别新范式及其实现模型,显著提升了地质灾害风险识别的精细化水平与工作效率,有效解决了“哪一栋房屋面临风险”的关键问题,为地质灾害风险精准防控提供了直接的决策支持。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective Conventional hazard-centered geohazard susceptibility identification methods face inherent limitations in accurately locating elements at risk. This study aims to establish a new element-at-risk-centered paradigm for refined geohazard susceptibility identification, providing a novel technical approach for the early detection of potential geohazards.
      Methods Using Shangrao Town in Guangdong Province as a case study, this work integrates "integrated real property data" with a high-resolution DEM to construct an innovative geohazard susceptibility identification model based on the quantitative assessment of neighborhood-scale risk surrounding elements at risk. Through a neighborhood raster range-based analytical method, the risk relationships between buildings and adjacent slopes are quantified. Two susceptibility indicators, i.e. "Slope-related geohazard susceptibility zones" and "Terrain relief-associated geohazard susceptibility zones.", are generated. This achieves indexed and spatially explicit representation of geohazard susceptibility.
      Results Validation results show that the total area of the two types of potential susceptibility zones generated by the proposed model is 0.61~0.91 km2, substantially smaller than the 22.55 km2 key investigation area delineated using conventional methods. Among 101 field-verified building-related risk points, the identification accuracy rates for the slope-related and terrain relief-associated geohazard susceptibility zones reached 91.09% and 93.07%, respectively—significantly higher than the 79.21% accuracy achieved by traditional methods. The proposed model also exhibits strong applicability when extended to highway geohazard risk identification.
      Conclusion The proposed element-at-risk-centered paradigm and its implementation model significantly enhance the refinement and efficiency of geohazard susceptibility identification, effectively addressing the critical question of “which specific building is at risk.” The method provides direct decision-making support for precise geohazard risk prevention and control.

       

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