ISSN 1003-8035 CN 11-2852/P

    强降雨作用下秭归县7•17湾水田滑坡成因机制研究

    Research on the instability mechanism of the Wanshuitian landslide in Zigui County, China, on July 17th under intense rainfall

    • 摘要:
      目的 2024年汛期,湖北省秭归县遭遇多轮强降雨,引发111起较大地质灾害险情。其中,7月17日发生的湾水田滑坡灾情尤为严重,降雨监测数据显示,坡体滑前经历的两轮强降雨过程(仅间隔4 d)异常罕见,系统探究强降雨触发滑坡的成因机制对灾害防控具有关键意义。
      方法 基于湾水田滑坡的野外地质详查及有限元数值模拟技术,构建了滑坡渗流—应力—位移的多场流固耦合模型,反演了滑坡对短间隔多峰模式强降雨的水文响应规律。同时结合区域地质环境特征,阐明湾水田滑坡的成因机制与失稳模式。
      结果 结果表明:①滑坡发生前17 d内遭遇的“强降雨—短间隔(4 d)—次降雨”的降雨叠加过程是坡体失稳的主要外部因素。②降雨入渗的滞后效应与滑带处雨水富集导致岩土体软化后的突然解锁是关键触发因素。③双轮持续强降雨影响下,坡体内孔隙水压力持续升高,有效应力逐步衰减,最终导致滑动面岩土体抗剪强度显著降低,触发滑坡失稳。孔压最大增量达184.8 kPa,有效应力的最大下降量达161.39 kPa,抗剪整体下降量可达149.8 kPa。④湾水田滑坡变形过程具有推移式和突发性的特征,失稳模式为多组节理面与岩层面相互切割形成的楔形体组合滑动。
      结论 在此基础上,对湾水田滑坡现状以及类似滑坡防治提出防治建议,可为同类滑坡灾害的监测预警体系构建及防治工程实践提供的理论支撑与科学指导。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective During the 2024 flood season, Zigui County in Hubei Province experienced multiple episodes of intense rainfall, resulting in 111 significant geological hazard incidents. Among them, the Wanshuitian landslide on July 17 was particularly severe. Rainfall monitoring data showed that the slope was subject to two consecutive heavy rainfall events separated by only 4 days —an exceptionally rare pattern. A systematic investigation of the mechanisms through which intense rainfall triggers landslide is therefore crucial for effective disaster prevention and mitigation.
      Methods Based on detailed field geological investigations and finite-element numerical simulations using Geo-Studio, a multi-field seepage–stress–displacement coupled model of the Wanshuitian landslide was developed. The model was used to reconstruct and analyze the hydrological response of the landslide to the short-interval, multi-peak rainfall events. Combined with the regional geological environmental conditions, the causative mechanisms and failure modes of the landslide were clarified.
      Results The results indicate that: (1) The superimposed rainfall sequence of “intense rainfall - short interval (4 days) - subsequent rainfall” within 17 days prior to the failure was the primary external cause leading to instability. (2) The lag effect of rainfall infiltration, together with water accumulation within the slip zone and the consequent softening-induced sudden unlocking of the rock–soil mass, constituted the key triggering mechanism. (3) Under two consecutive rounds of persistent heavy rainfall, pore water pressure in the slope increased continuously, while effective stress declined progressively, ultimately causing a significant reduction in the shear strength along the sliding surface and resulting in failure. The maximum increase in pore pressure reached 184.8 kPa, the maximum drop in effective stress was 161.39 kPa, and the overall reduction in shear strength reached 149.8 kPa. (4) The deformation evolution of the Wanshuitian landslide exhibited both progressive and abrupt movements, with the failure mode being a combination of wedge-shaped sliding formed by the mutual cutting of multiple joint sets and rock layers.
      Conclusion Based on these findings, targeted prevention and mitigation strategies are proposed for the Wanshuitian landslide and similar types of rainfall-induced landslides. The research findings provide theoretical support and scientific guidance for monitoring, early warning, and engineering control of analogous geological hazards.

       

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